Hillary Clinton Ahead Of Donald Trump In Latest Polls

Now that both conventions have wrapped up lets see what the latest polls are saying about the 2016 presidential candidates.

The Economist’s latest general election poll has Hillary Clinton leading 46 percent to Donald Trump’s 43 percent. When third party candidates are included, the Economist found Clinton with 41 percent, Trump with 36 percent, followed by Gary Johnson’s 8 percent and Jill Stein with 4 percent.

NBC News found in their latest poll Hillary Clinton ahead 8 points, 50 percent to 42 percent for Donald Trump. Including third party candidates, Clinton still leads with 42 percent, followed by Trump at 38 percent, Johnson with 9 percent, and Jill Stein’s 4 percent.

CBS News polled earlier this week and found Hillary Clinton on top with 47 percent to Donald Trump’s 41 percent. While CNN found Clinton with 52 percent to Trump’s 43 percent, the widest margin in recent polling.

Clinton looks to have benefitted from the Democratic Convention while it appears Trump’s convention bounce is over. While both candidates have their own scandals to deal with, the polling seems to show Clinton with the current upper hand, with Trump only besting her in polls from Georgia and Oklahoma, according to Real Clear Politics.

US Launches Airstrikes On ISIS In Libya

In response to requests to help push ISIS militants from their stronghold in Sirte, Libya, the US have started a bombing campaign in the country this week. Since the Islamic State seized the city last year it has been one of the more prominent bases for the terror group outside of Syria and Iraq. The Pentagon reports that Monday’s strike targeted a tank location and two ISIS vehicles that posed a threat to Libya’s GNA forces. Reuters reports that the GNA or Government of National Accord, is a UN-mediated deal from last year which was met to end the conflict between two rival governments in the country.

Western powers have offered support to the GNA as it fights the Islamic State and to revive Libya’s oil production. Forces in Libya have been able to recapture territory around Sirte but even Libyan fighter jets lack the weapons and technology for precise strikes.

The last acknowledged airstrikes by the US in Libya were in February, according to Reuters.

U.S. GDP Grows 1.2% During The Second Quarter

The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the US gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 1.2 percent in the second quarter, below the 2.6 percent forecast by economists. This is the worst first half performance since 2011. The current annual growth rate during this business cycle is 2.1 percent, the weakest of any expansion since 1949, according to the Journal.

Although unemployment has fallen below 5 percent this year and employers are adding jobs, the pace of monthly payroll growth was down, leading Federal Reserve officials to rethink their support of an interest rate increase this year if the economy is not on as solid footing as forecasted.

The second quarter did have some positives: consumer spending rose, personal consumption expand at a 4.2 percent rate, spending on services was up 3 percent, and international trade added .23 percent to overall growth. 

Nonresidential fixed investments however declined at a 2.2 percent pace, meaning companies spent less on buildings and equipment. Residential fixed investments regarding home building and improvements also fell at a 6.1 percent pace.

These 2nd quarter numbers have not yet felt the effect of the UK’s brexit decision which will add more uncertainty.

Donald Trump Takes Lead Over Hillary Clinton In Latest Polls

The Republicans nominated Donald Trump last week while the Democrats nominated Hillary Clinton this week making the race officially on. With the Democratic Convention finishing up lets see what the polls are saying after the Republican Convention.

The latest poll is from Rasmussen Reports which has Clinton on top by one point over Trump 43 to 42 percent.

The LA Times and USC released a poll this week which had Trump with 47 percent and Clinton with 40 percent.

Earlier in the week CNN’s poll had Trump on top by 3 points, 48 to Clinton’s 45 percent and CBS News had Trump besting Clinton by only 1 point, 44 to 43.

On the other, hand the Economist’s poll released this week  has Clinton up 5 points over Trump, 47 to 42 while NBC News’ poll found Clinton in the lead by only 1 point, 46 to 45 percent.

The conventions seem to give their candidate a boost, we will have to see how the Democratic Convention fares for Hillary Clinton’s numbers as the march to November kicks off.